A Framework to Anticipate Indirect Impacts of the Events in Project External Environment

Authors

  • Minh Nguyen Dinh Chau Keio Univerisy
  • Yoshiko Ohno Keio University
  • Kohei Tanaka Keio University
  • Fumihito Oura Keio University
  • Mikiko Nakada Keio University
  • Seiko Shirasaka Keio University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52731/lbds.v001.038

Keywords:

anticipate, external environment, N2 chart, risk management, uncertainty

Abstract

Events in the project external environment may cause positive or negative impacts to project outcomes. The number of those external events is enormous and their impacts are uncertain. There could be direct or indirect impacts or no impact on the project. However, it is necessary to anticipate those potential impacts and their sources. Previously, the work was done by expert judgment methods, which rely on the backgrounds of the experts. This paper proposes a framework that can address the need regardless of user background. The framework is called Extended N2 Chart. It was evaluated through a workshop on a hypothetical project. The results suggest that the proposed method helps participants to consider more indirect impacts and reduce the number of irrelevant anticipations.

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Published

2022-08-25