Predicting Student Dropout Risk Using LMS Logs

Authors

  • Takaaki Ohkawauchi Nihon University
  • Eriko Tanaka Nihon University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52731/lir.v004.226

Keywords:

learning management system, log data, machine learning, prediction of at-risk student

Abstract

Traditionally, the prediction of student dropout in university classes has often been based on stu-dents’ pre-enrollment information or confirmed grade data for each semester after enrollment. However, effective support requires early intervention when signs of dropping out appear. In this study, we propose a model to continuously measure dropout signs using log data accumulated in a learning management system during classes. By applying machine learning to the log data in the learning management system, we could continuously update information on at-risk students with high accuracy from the beginning to the end of the class.

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Published

2024-03-18